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COVID-19 News and ISI Santa Cruz
scroll below for latest updates & advice

from the  national CDC website -- Best article explaining the URGENCY of stopping the spread of COVID-19
​March 10, 2020

Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now   >>>>>
(more than 40 million views in the past week)

​
followed by the same author's new article
March 19, 2020 --
" The Hammer & The Dance:  What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time  >>>>>>>

​
March 24, 2020
World's top Coronavirus research experts
explain what they know so far
    about COVID-19 and other Coronavirus behavior.
         including an affirmation that, YES
            as Dr. Bob says,
               
Warm & Steamy air does help your body
                    fight off common cold viruses including Coronavirus...
(see our advice below this article)


article in The Atlantic
Why The Coronavirus has been So Successful

March 20, 2020 by Ed Yong   

<<We’ve known about SARS-CoV-2 for only three months, but scientists can make some educated guesses about where it came from and why it’s behaving in such an extreme way.>>

 . . .
the article goes on to say that while Warm & humid air does normally inhibit such viruses

<< Coronaviruses, much like influenza, tend to be winter viruses. In cold and dry air, the thin layers of liquid that coat our lungs and airways become even thinner, and the beating hairs that rest in those layers struggle to evict viruses and other foreign particles.
Dry air also seems to dampen some aspects of the immune response to those trapped viruses.
In the heat and humidity of summer, both trends reverse, and respiratory viruses struggle to get a foothold.>>


and the coming warmer weather ??

<< may knock things down a little, but there’s so much person-to-person transmission going on that it may take more than that.” Unless people can slow the spread of the virus by sticking to physical-distancing recommendations, the summer alone won’t save us.>>

UPSHOT--
While there is MUCH we do NOT yet know about COVID-19, say the World's top experts in Coronaviruses say that dry cold air dampens our body's immune system response to them, allowing viruses to  grow and spread faster
   Thus, the opposite of cold & dry =  Warm & Moist air allows your immune system to better fight them off the Coronavirus and other Common Cold viruses 

So, to PREVENT getting infected,
or after you have symptoms of,
ANY Common Cold virus
       along with strict Social Distancing and hand washing,
keep following Dr. Bob's advice, using Warm & Steamy methods:  sip warm drinks every 15 minutes, take warm & steamy showers, breath Warm & Steamy air day & night. to help your body fight it off.
  It's free, readily available and You will feel better instantly!


​Washington Post article Why Outbreaks Like Coronavirus Spread Exponentially and How to Flatten the Curve    >>>>>>>>
​
 
​
Great  illustration of how the spread of a virus is controlled best using  Social Distancing practiced by the whole population, rather than an isolation of just smaller areas with live action dot simulations!!.  


Coronavirus can persist in air for hours and on surfaces for days, study says  (Reuters)
This says they aerosolized the virus to mimic the micro droplets in a cough or sneeze.
​It's half life is 66 minutes in an aerosol droplet 
 
(This contradicts a previous doctor’s statement that the Virus is not aerosolized in a cough or sneeze
or  according to another doctor, that you can only get infected if you are sneezed on!  
​

My point with this article is that
  
PROBABLY the main way the virus is spread is by:

1 --  
 the infected person expels the virus 
into the air in the moisture from your lungs by coughing, sneezing, or simply breathing it out.

2 -- 
then the next person BREATHES it into their lungs,
where it is absorbed into alveoli cells where the virus then attaches to the cells DNA, multiplying itself rapidly. 
This manner of spreading was shown by studies done in the 1940s showing people don't get common cold viruses from germs off their hands, but rather from the coughing and sneezing from other sick people. 
This makes more sense than than touching of hands to surfaces then touching your face.  The infection needs to travel into your respiratory system (mouth, nose, throat, lungs) to infect you.
The virus does NOT travel by itself from your skin into your lungs!  You need to BREATHE IT IN.


THEREFORE-- 
strict Social Distancing 
and 
wearing of face masks by everyone are our best defenses for stopping the spread of the virus.

p.s.
if you have infection from any Common cold virus (probably including Coronavirus), the best ways to clear it (according to WebMD:
  1. Warm Steam therapy. Steam therapy, or steam inhalation, involves inhaling water vapor to open the airways and help the lungs drain mucus. ...
  2. Controlled coughing. ...
  3. Drain mucus from the lungs. ...
  4. Exercise. ... (Dance anyone??)

March 19, 2020

Day #3 of Shelter At Home

How are you doing? Staying safe and keeping Social Distance?
Getting good sleep,healthy eating and exercise?
​Keep your mental and social health strong by joining our ISI Talk Times 

and read this   vvvvv
​"Hope" a poem by Brother Richard Hendrick,
​Capuchin Franciscan monk, Ireland


March 17, 2020
Happy St. Patrick's Day!
How are you doing on Day #1 of our new "Shelter At Home" lifestyle?  (mandated by County Health Dept.)



Through this unnerving time of stopping all our in-person social events both here in Santa Cruz and around the world, its easy to feel like we are free-floating, at the sudden stopping of most of our important and good social structures.  



So I'm starting series of online ISI Talk Times for UCSC  international friends, volunteers and alumni, to come together for informal chatting about various topics of interest. 

We also will schedule a Women's Talk Time and M28 Bible studies online.  Check our
 same Zoom webpage for latest schedules and link.

Of the four Talk Times so far, 3 had visitors who shared quite enjoyable times with me.
Let's get together-- separately! 



If any of our UCSC internationals has a special need for housing, a ride, or other support.  please let me know. ISI is here to support international students scholars and families at UCSC as best we can. 

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Published March 13, 2020
As of Friday, March 13
all ISI Santa Cruz  group  events cancelled

(likely into April) until  COVID-19 pandemic subsides.

This restriction is painful!
for me, and all our community leaders, in many school, faith, business and MANY other groups
  who are now cancelling all group events in just the last TWO days. 


but its WISE  due to our social responsibility to not spread this HIGHLY contagious virus,
according to Santa Cruz county health advisory along with Santa Cruz City Schools
and thus cause harm to other more vulnerable members of our society,

and  impact on our health care system.
While probably 80% of people infected willl only have mild symptoms, it will have bigger danger to people who are older and more fragile health.
so we need to be careful and considerate in not passing it around.


ISI's purpose is to offer friendship and hospitality to all UCSC internationals through our group friendship activities...
   EXCEPT in this case ...

where the main prevention to coronavirus is SOCIAL DISTANCING...


While frequent and thorough handwashing and avoiding  touching your face may help somewhat,
probably the
MAIN way the virus is spread is

from an infected person breathing out (or sneezing, coughing) virus-infected moisture, 
as invisible micro-droplets into the air.


As do most Common Colds, the COVID-19 infection grows in our LUNGS and respiratory system.
When an infected person coughs, sneezes, even talks and breathes,
s
/he is expelling some of the virus with the moisture in their breath, 
     then nearby people breathe it IN to their respiratory systems
             (more than just by touching your face with germs on your hands)

It is invisible,  highly contagious, and people can be contagious for up to 14 or more days with NO symptoms

therefore, the BEST thing we can do now is
     keep 
the recommended 6-foot distance between MOST people
because we don't know who is already infected.


Many of us, myself included, have had contact in the past two weeks with many other people who could possibly have the virus, unknowingly.

And because our government has been slow to produce testing (unlike South Korea who is already testing 10,000 people /day, and Taiwan and Singapore who were ready to handle cases when first discovered)


But in USA most doctors don't yet have access to enough tests to even know if we have the virus

         ~~  Yikes!!! ~~
So its taken a few days for all of us, myself included, to emotionally Reverse Engines on my motivation,
      from feeling compelled to offer our long-planned in-person programs,
     to realizing that those same events might unwittingly infect the very friends we are trying to help

   ~~~ Double Yikes!!! ~~~

thanks to THIS Excellent article showing the trajectory of COVID-19 in Wuhan and other countries
       (Italy and USA are two of the worst prepared ones)
and how just one or 2 days of earlier pubic enactment of Social Distancing can make a big difference.


So... WHAT DO WE DO?
The closer you are to an infected person, and the more viruses are expelled,
           in a huge blasting sneeze, for example,
                      the bigger dose of virus you get.
A bigger dose is harder for your body's immune system to fight off, 
        so you would be sicker with worse symptoms and longer.


Thus the SOCIAL DISTANCE between people 
          and amount of time together 
 
make a HUGE difference,
         between getting a weak dose of virus, or massive dose.
              between getting a little bit sick and quickly fighting it off,
                    or getting VERY sick for longer.


Your body's immune system then starts building antibodies to the virus, once it is exposed to it.
    Then eventually you become immune.

But that takes a bit of time.
       With time, our whole population will grow more resistant.
            Thus, the sooner  we slow down the spread and severity of this highly contagious COVID-19 virus,
                the less impact it will have on our population, 
                             and sooner we can get back to normal life.


So let's heed this wise warning, do our best ,
       and look forward to seeing each other again soon
          after we get through this crisis together-- by being separate!

--  Our  best prayers, hopes and love to all
from Peggy Pollard, ISI staff, and all our ISI Santa Cruz Team


Published March 11, 2020
TWO sources of vindication this week affirming Dr. Bob's Common Cold Care (and likely Coronavirus) Advice!
Dr. Bob says:
1. Touching surfaces and your face is NOT the main way the Coronavirus is spread.
       (despite popular media advice to the contrary)

<<   Santa Cruz Good Time article today:   "The coronavirus does seem to be able to live on surfaces, though it is unclear for how long and doesn’t seem to be the main way the virus spreads."   >>
but rather it is spread mainly by breathing in air from a nearby virus=infected person 
(contaminated by their virus-infected micro-droplets of moisture  expelled by coughing,sneezing and breathing.  The amount of virus you are exposed to makes a big difference in how well you can fight it off, so the further away you are and the less virus germs you get the better. 

2.  The virus replicates faster (= your cold grows worse) in cooler temperatures, therefore take care of yourself with Warm & Steamy practices!
A March 6, 2020 National Geographic article on coronavirus research  speaks to what latest research is showing:  " relatively recent research suggests that dry, cold air may also help viruses stay intact in the air or travel farther as they become airborne.
      One of the first studies to test how environmental conditions affect viral transmission was published in 2007, and it looked at how influenza spread through guinea pigs infected in a lab. High temperatures and in particular high humidity slowed the influenza spread, and at very high humidity levels, the virus stopped spreading completely.
Warmer air holds more moisture, which prevents airborne viruses from traveling as far as they would in dry air. In humid conditions, the small liquid droplets in a cough or sneeze gather more moisture as they’re expelled. Eventually too heavy to stay airborne, they drop to the ground."  >>


Thus, doing the opposite of cool & dry inhibits the virus from spreading and multiplying, as was shown from research done wayyyy back during World War 2 in the UK Common Cold research institute. Plus it instantly feels good so try it and help your body fight off a host of common cold viruses.


Published March 9, 2020
As we all know the COVID-19 is now a serious world-wide concern progressing rapidly,
      a totally new thing for everyone on this planet,
                  so no human yet knows all the answers about it,
 with already both big physical and social/economic impact.
 
So  I’m analyzing much international, national and local news,
from UCSC, from my work headquarters , from friends,
               and discussing it all heavily with my husband,  Dr. Bob,
a UCSF trained (graduated with honors)  35-year ER physician
         who has treated more than 100,000 patients with cold viruses.
(summary of Dr. Bob’s advice below)
 
Best way to decide whether to hold/attend  our wonderful dance classes is a
      ~~~    Benefit/Risk Analysis  ~~~ 
So as your teacher, here’s my careful advice:
 
The BIG benefits to social/partner dancing:  
It helps you stay healthy and strong to fight off many diseases!
 
Partner & social dancing is a safe low-impact exercise that strengthens your all-body physical health
including your immune system
     to fight off many diseases
            (including COVID-19 when it comes)
plus emotional and  mental health with social and physical connection,
exercising your brain to learn new moves,
and  inspiring and delighting your spirit with enjoyable music
It makes us feel very happy,
which is VERY good for us.
 
Our RISKS:

As of today, Santa Cruz Sentinel reports two known cases (who caught it elsewhere
 but no community spread of it  so far
…
so our infection risk here, is at the moment very low
     for people who have not traveled to a hot spot, or who visited with people who have
          That will change soon,
                  as news media will inform us.
 
Our TWO big risks are 
1.   getting infected  
2.  unwittingly infecting other people
         it has a 2-week incubation period without symptoms!  
If  YOU wear a surgical mask, we are told the purpose is more to  prevent YOU from spreading the virus,
Since it doesn’t filter out virus germs you breathe IN,
because they are too tiny.
  
Thus,  for now, I advise that YES, holding/attending the class (for HEALTHY dancers)
is currently still OK, since there is not a public health directive to cancel such activities  in Santa Cruz area  yet
But certainly anyone NOT HEALTHY, or who is worried about it,   should stay home.
(dancing is no fun if you are worried about it the whole time.)

So for those who are VERY  confident you are healthy and NOT been exposed, 
let’s dance while we can, and keep our ears in the news.
 
ADVICE from the wise Dr. Bob*
In addition to 
CDC’s normal advice of washing hands and area frequently, 
getting lots of sleep, eating healthy,
Dr. Bob also recommends this lesser-known advice
for fighting off any common cold virus, 
       because they tend to grow faster in COLD temperatures,
                     which likely applies to COVID-19
                          since, although it is is a new version,
                            
 it is still one of the categories of Common Cold viruses:
                                         Corona virus 
                                         (named "corona" because its shape resembles a crown.)
 
Keep your upper respiratory system Warm & Steamy! 
by…
  • keeping your room air warmer, closer to 80F  especially at night,
  • Sipping hot (not scalding) beverages frequently
  • If air is cool outside, cover face with a scarf or mask,
  • Take two hot steamy showers/day
  • breathe warm steamy air from a hot, wet washcloth several times/day
  • use a warm air humidifier in your bedroom at night
Big virtual, virus-free dance hugs to you!
 -- Teacher Peggy


*my husband, Dr. Bob Pollard-- a 40-year Emergency Room physician
(graduated with honors from renowned UCSF Medical School)
who has treated  100,000 patients with cold viruses in his career and has some excellent wisdom on Common Cold virus behavior in general from his clinical practice.



published Sunday, March 8, 2020
from Traditional Dancers of Santa Cruz,
 Contradance Community :
We are keeping an eye on the situation in Santa Cruz and do not think that cancellation of [yesterday's] dance is warranted. In these difficult times, maintaining the fabric of our community is more important than ever.
Local information on COVID19:  
(One known case in Santa Cruz, not from community spread).
We do ask that you do not attend if any of the following applies to you:
- You have any flu-like symptoms, including fever, cough, or difficulty breathing.
- You returned from travel in the last 3 weeks.
- You live in an area with sustained local transmission.
- You have had close physical contact with a person currently under investigation for COVID-19, or whom is a confirmed case of COVID-19
Information that I have found useful:
https://www.danceplace.com/grapevine/dance-in-the-time-of-corona/
Wash your hands often with soap for more than 20 seconds, and try not to touch your face.
---------------------

Good Health and Happiness to you!

-- Teacher Peggy
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